This past season UCLA posted the best team eFG% of the past 12 years. This alone conveys that Ball is special in a way that has not been seen in any prior prospect.īall isn’t efficient with his own shot selection– he also assisted his teammates to elite efficiency. His advantage over Baron Davis’s eFG% is similar to the degree that Baron is above average. This chart suggests that the intersection of shotmaking, passing, and youth is a strong predictor of NBA success.īall has more assists and fewer turnovers than anybody in the group while also being the tallest. He stands out as a player likely to have a great NBA career before even considering that he waffle crushes everybody in eFG% and 2P%. When the range is narrowed to major conference freshmen who averaged 8+ points and 5+ assists, Lonzo really shines (averages shown are per 40 mins):Īll players listed went on to varying degrees of successful NBA careers. This manifests in Ball’s 66.8% eFG, which is higher than any drafted NCAA player who averaged 5+ assists per game in the past 25 years (junior Kirk Hinrich comes closest 63.1%). The most unique aspect of Ball’s game is that he seeks efficiency and attains it to an unprecedented degree. There are doubts that a guard with his scoring limitations can merit a top 3 selection in such a strong draft, let alone #1 overall. But he induces skepticism with merely decent athleticism and ball handling ability, and infrequently creates his own shot inside in the arc. Lonzo Ball is an incredibly polarizing prospect as he boasts elite passing, basketball IQ, and PG size at 6’6″.
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